Expectile

In the mathematical theory of probability, the expectiles of a probability distribution are related to the expected value of the distribution in a way analogous to that in which the quantiles of the distribution are related to the median.

For τ ( 0 , 1 ) {\textstyle \tau \in (0,1)} expectile of the probability distribution with cumulative distribution function F {\textstyle F} is characterized by any of the following equivalent conditions:[1] [2] [3]

( 1 τ ) t ( t x ) d F ( x ) = τ t ( x t ) d F ( x ) t | t x | d F ( x ) = τ | x t | d F ( x ) t E [ X ] = 2 τ 1 1 τ t ( x t ) d F ( x ) {\displaystyle {\begin{aligned}&(1-\tau )\int _{-\infty }^{t}(t-x)\,dF(x)=\tau \int _{t}^{\infty }(x-t)\,dF(x)\\[5pt]&\int _{-\infty }^{t}|t-x|\,dF(x)=\tau \int _{-\infty }^{\infty }|x-t|\,dF(x)\\[5pt]&t-\operatorname {E} [X]={\frac {2\tau -1}{1-\tau }}\int _{t}^{\infty }(x-t)\,dF(x)\end{aligned}}}

References

  1. ^ Werner Ehm, Tilmann Gneiting, Alexander Jordan, Fabian Krüger, "Of Quantiles and Expectiles: Consistent Scoring Functions, Choquet Representations, and Forecast Rankings," arxiv
  2. ^ Yuwen Gu and Hui Zou, "Aggregated Expectile Regression by Exponential Weighting," Statistica Sinica, https://www3.stat.sinica.edu.tw/preprint/SS-2016-0285_Preprint.pdf
  3. ^ Whitney K. Newey, "Asymmetric Least Squares Estimation and Testing," Econometrica, volume 55, number 4, pp. 819–47.